Clean Email is an automated software as a service email management application which identifies and clears junk mail from inboxes. The service uses a subscription business model with a free trial for the first 1,000 emails. and is available on macOS, iOS, Android, and on the web. == History == Clean Email is a self-funded company headquartered in Los Angeles, California. Initially developed by the founder for personal use, the service was designed to address the growing issue of inbox clutter and privacy concerns. In 2017, John Gruber recognized Clean Email as a trustworthy alternative to Unroll.me after the latter was found to be selling user data. == Features == Clean Email uses algorithms to identify and categorize emails, enabling users to group, remove, label, and archive email messages in bulk. Its Unsubscriber tool consolidates all subscriptions and newsletters into a single view for quick management, allowing users to bulk unsubscribe or temporarily pause mail. Its Screener feature transforms the inbox into an "opt-in" system, enabling users to pre-approve mail from new senders. Cleaning Suggestions identifies frequently cleaned mail, recommending actions accordingly. Additional functionalities include automatic deletion of aging emails, delivery of messages to specified folders, and options to mute or block senders.
List of artificial intelligence journals
This is a list of notable peer-reviewed academic journals that publish research in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), including areas such as machine learning, computer vision, natural language processing, robotics, and intelligent systems. == General artificial intelligence == Artificial Intelligence (journal) – Elsevier Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research (JAIR) – AI Access Foundation Knowledge-Based Systems – Elsevier == Machine learning == Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery – Springer Machine Learning (journal) – Springer Journal of Machine Learning Research – Microtome Pattern Recognition (journal) – Elsevier Neural Networks (journal) – Elsevier Neural Computation (journal) – MIT Press Neurocomputing (journal) - Elsevier == Deep learning and neural computation == IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation – IEEE IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems – IEEE Nature Machine Intelligence – Springer Nature == Computer vision == International Journal of Computer Vision – Springer IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence – IEEE Machine Vision and Applications – Springer == Natural language processing == Computational Linguistics (journal) – MIT Press Natural Language Processing Transactions of the Association for Computational Linguistics – ACL == Robotics and intelligent systems == IEEE Transactions on Robotics – IEEE Autonomous Robots – Springer Journal of Intelligent & Robotic Systems – Springer == Interdisciplinary and ethics in AI == AI & Society – Springer Artificial Life – MIT Press Philosophy & Technology – Springer Minds and Machines – Springer
Baum–Welch algorithm
In electrical engineering, statistical computing and bioinformatics, the Baum–Welch algorithm is a special case of the expectation–maximization algorithm used to find the unknown parameters of a hidden Markov model (HMM). It makes use of the forward-backward algorithm to compute the statistics for the expectation step. The Baum–Welch algorithm, the primary method for inference in hidden Markov models, is numerically unstable due to its recursive calculation of joint probabilities. As the number of variables grows, these joint probabilities become increasingly small, leading to the forward recursions rapidly approaching values below machine precision. == History == The Baum–Welch algorithm was named after its inventors Leonard E. Baum and Lloyd R. Welch. The algorithm and the Hidden Markov models were first described in a series of articles by Baum and his peers at the IDA Center for Communications Research, Princeton in the late 1960s and early 1970s. One of the first major applications of HMMs was to the field of speech processing. In the 1980s, HMMs were emerging as a useful tool in the analysis of biological systems and information, and in particular genetic information. They have since become an important tool in the probabilistic modeling of genomic sequences. == Description == A hidden Markov model describes the joint probability of a collection of "hidden" and observed discrete random variables. It relies on the assumption that the i-th hidden variable given the (i − 1)-th hidden variable is independent of previous hidden variables, and the current observation variables depend only on the current hidden state. The Baum–Welch algorithm uses the well known EM algorithm to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters of a hidden Markov model given a set of observed feature vectors. Let X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} be a discrete hidden random variable with N {\displaystyle N} possible values (i.e. We assume there are N {\displaystyle N} states in total). We assume the P ( X t ∣ X t − 1 ) {\displaystyle P(X_{t}\mid X_{t-1})} is independent of time t {\displaystyle t} , which leads to the definition of the time-independent stochastic transition matrix A = { a i j } = P ( X t = j ∣ X t − 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle A=\{a_{ij}\}=P(X_{t}=j\mid X_{t-1}=i).} The initial state distribution (i.e. when t = 1 {\displaystyle t=1} ) is given by π i = P ( X 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle \pi _{i}=P(X_{1}=i).} The observation variables Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} can take one of K {\displaystyle K} possible values. We also assume the observation given the "hidden" state is time independent. The probability of a certain observation y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} at time t {\displaystyle t} for state X t = j {\displaystyle X_{t}=j} is given by b j ( y i ) = P ( Y t = y i ∣ X t = j ) . {\displaystyle b_{j}(y_{i})=P(Y_{t}=y_{i}\mid X_{t}=j).} Taking into account all the possible values of Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} and X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} , we obtain the N × K {\displaystyle N\times K} matrix B = { b j ( y i ) } {\displaystyle B=\{b_{j}(y_{i})\}} where b j {\displaystyle b_{j}} belongs to all the possible states and y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} belongs to all the observations. An observation sequence is given by Y = ( Y 1 = y 1 , Y 2 = y 2 , … , Y T = y T ) {\displaystyle Y=(Y_{1}=y_{1},Y_{2}=y_{2},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T})} . Thus we can describe a hidden Markov chain by θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} . The Baum–Welch algorithm finds a local maximum for θ ∗ = a r g m a x θ P ( Y ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \theta ^{}=\operatorname {arg\,max} _{\theta }P(Y\mid \theta )} (i.e. the HMM parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } that maximize the probability of the observation). === Algorithm === Set θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} with random initial conditions. They can also be set using prior information about the parameters if it is available; this can speed up the algorithm and also steer it toward the desired local maximum. ==== Forward procedure ==== Let α i ( t ) = P ( Y 1 = y 1 , … , Y t = y t , X t = i ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t)=P(Y_{1}=y_{1},\ldots ,Y_{t}=y_{t},X_{t}=i\mid \theta )} , the probability of seeing the observations y 1 , y 2 , … , y t {\displaystyle y_{1},y_{2},\ldots ,y_{t}} and being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . This is found recursively: α i ( 1 ) = π i b i ( y 1 ) , {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(1)=\pi _{i}b_{i}(y_{1}),} α i ( t + 1 ) = b i ( y t + 1 ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) a j i . {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t+1)=b_{i}(y_{t+1})\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)a_{ji}.} Since this series converges exponentially to zero, the algorithm will numerically underflow for longer sequences. However, this can be avoided in a slightly modified algorithm by scaling α {\displaystyle \alpha } in the forward and β {\displaystyle \beta } in the backward procedure below. ==== Backward procedure ==== Let β i ( t ) = P ( Y t + 1 = y t + 1 , … , Y T = y T ∣ X t = i , θ ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=P(Y_{t+1}=y_{t+1},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T}\mid X_{t}=i,\theta )} that is the probability of the ending partial sequence y t + 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle y_{t+1},\ldots ,y_{T}} given starting state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . We calculate β i ( t ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)} as, β i ( T ) = 1 , {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(T)=1,} β i ( t ) = ∑ j = 1 N β j ( t + 1 ) a i j b j ( y t + 1 ) . {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=\sum _{j=1}^{N}\beta _{j}(t+1)a_{ij}b_{j}(y_{t+1}).} ==== Update ==== We can now calculate the temporary variables, according to Bayes' theorem: γ i ( t ) = P ( X t = i ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) β i ( t ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) β j ( t ) , {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)=P(X_{t}=i\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)\beta _{i}(t)}{\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)\beta _{j}(t)}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } ξ i j ( t ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) a i j β j ( t + 1 ) b j ( y t + 1 ) ∑ k = 1 N ∑ w = 1 N α k ( t ) a k w β w ( t + 1 ) b w ( y t + 1 ) , {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)=P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)a_{ij}\beta _{j}(t+1)b_{j}(y_{t+1})}{\sum _{k=1}^{N}\sum _{w=1}^{N}\alpha _{k}(t)a_{kw}\beta _{w}(t+1)b_{w}(y_{t+1})}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} and j {\displaystyle j} at times t {\displaystyle t} and t + 1 {\displaystyle t+1} respectively given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The denominators of γ i ( t ) {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)} and ξ i j ( t ) {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)} are the same ; they represent the probability of making the observation Y {\displaystyle Y} given the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The parameters of the hidden Markov model θ {\displaystyle \theta } can now be updated: π i ∗ = γ i ( 1 ) , {\displaystyle \pi _{i}^{}=\gamma _{i}(1),} which is the expected frequency spent in state i {\displaystyle i} at time 1 {\displaystyle 1} . a i j ∗ = ∑ t = 1 T − 1 ξ i j ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T − 1 γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle a_{ij}^{}={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\xi _{ij}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} which is the expected number of transitions from state i to state j compared to the expected total number of transitions starting in state i, including from state i to itself. The number of transitions starting in state i is equivalent to the number of times state i is observed in the sequence from t = 1 to t = T − 1. b i ∗ ( v k ) = ∑ t = 1 T 1 y t = v k γ i ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T}1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}\gamma _{i}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} where 1 y t = v k = { 1 if y t = v k , 0 otherwise {\displaystyle 1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}={\begin{cases}1&{\text{if }}y_{t}=v_{k},\\0&{\text{otherwise}}\end{cases}}} is an indicator function, and b i ∗ ( v k ) {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})} is the expected number of times the output observations have been equal to v k {\displaystyle v_{k}} while in state i {\displaystyle i} over the expected total number of times in state i {\displaystyle i} . These steps are now repeated iteratively until a desired level of convergence. Note: It is possible to over-fit a particular data set. That is, P ( Y ∣ θ final ) > P ( Y ∣ θ true ) {\displaystyle P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{final}})>P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{true}})} . The algorithm also does not guarantee a global maximum. ==== Multiple sequences ==== The algorithm described thus far assumes a single observed sequence Y = y 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle Y=y_{1},\ldots ,y_{T}} . However, in many situations, there are several sequences observed: Y 1 ,
Baum–Welch algorithm
In electrical engineering, statistical computing and bioinformatics, the Baum–Welch algorithm is a special case of the expectation–maximization algorithm used to find the unknown parameters of a hidden Markov model (HMM). It makes use of the forward-backward algorithm to compute the statistics for the expectation step. The Baum–Welch algorithm, the primary method for inference in hidden Markov models, is numerically unstable due to its recursive calculation of joint probabilities. As the number of variables grows, these joint probabilities become increasingly small, leading to the forward recursions rapidly approaching values below machine precision. == History == The Baum–Welch algorithm was named after its inventors Leonard E. Baum and Lloyd R. Welch. The algorithm and the Hidden Markov models were first described in a series of articles by Baum and his peers at the IDA Center for Communications Research, Princeton in the late 1960s and early 1970s. One of the first major applications of HMMs was to the field of speech processing. In the 1980s, HMMs were emerging as a useful tool in the analysis of biological systems and information, and in particular genetic information. They have since become an important tool in the probabilistic modeling of genomic sequences. == Description == A hidden Markov model describes the joint probability of a collection of "hidden" and observed discrete random variables. It relies on the assumption that the i-th hidden variable given the (i − 1)-th hidden variable is independent of previous hidden variables, and the current observation variables depend only on the current hidden state. The Baum–Welch algorithm uses the well known EM algorithm to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters of a hidden Markov model given a set of observed feature vectors. Let X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} be a discrete hidden random variable with N {\displaystyle N} possible values (i.e. We assume there are N {\displaystyle N} states in total). We assume the P ( X t ∣ X t − 1 ) {\displaystyle P(X_{t}\mid X_{t-1})} is independent of time t {\displaystyle t} , which leads to the definition of the time-independent stochastic transition matrix A = { a i j } = P ( X t = j ∣ X t − 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle A=\{a_{ij}\}=P(X_{t}=j\mid X_{t-1}=i).} The initial state distribution (i.e. when t = 1 {\displaystyle t=1} ) is given by π i = P ( X 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle \pi _{i}=P(X_{1}=i).} The observation variables Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} can take one of K {\displaystyle K} possible values. We also assume the observation given the "hidden" state is time independent. The probability of a certain observation y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} at time t {\displaystyle t} for state X t = j {\displaystyle X_{t}=j} is given by b j ( y i ) = P ( Y t = y i ∣ X t = j ) . {\displaystyle b_{j}(y_{i})=P(Y_{t}=y_{i}\mid X_{t}=j).} Taking into account all the possible values of Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} and X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} , we obtain the N × K {\displaystyle N\times K} matrix B = { b j ( y i ) } {\displaystyle B=\{b_{j}(y_{i})\}} where b j {\displaystyle b_{j}} belongs to all the possible states and y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} belongs to all the observations. An observation sequence is given by Y = ( Y 1 = y 1 , Y 2 = y 2 , … , Y T = y T ) {\displaystyle Y=(Y_{1}=y_{1},Y_{2}=y_{2},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T})} . Thus we can describe a hidden Markov chain by θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} . The Baum–Welch algorithm finds a local maximum for θ ∗ = a r g m a x θ P ( Y ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \theta ^{}=\operatorname {arg\,max} _{\theta }P(Y\mid \theta )} (i.e. the HMM parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } that maximize the probability of the observation). === Algorithm === Set θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} with random initial conditions. They can also be set using prior information about the parameters if it is available; this can speed up the algorithm and also steer it toward the desired local maximum. ==== Forward procedure ==== Let α i ( t ) = P ( Y 1 = y 1 , … , Y t = y t , X t = i ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t)=P(Y_{1}=y_{1},\ldots ,Y_{t}=y_{t},X_{t}=i\mid \theta )} , the probability of seeing the observations y 1 , y 2 , … , y t {\displaystyle y_{1},y_{2},\ldots ,y_{t}} and being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . This is found recursively: α i ( 1 ) = π i b i ( y 1 ) , {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(1)=\pi _{i}b_{i}(y_{1}),} α i ( t + 1 ) = b i ( y t + 1 ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) a j i . {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t+1)=b_{i}(y_{t+1})\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)a_{ji}.} Since this series converges exponentially to zero, the algorithm will numerically underflow for longer sequences. However, this can be avoided in a slightly modified algorithm by scaling α {\displaystyle \alpha } in the forward and β {\displaystyle \beta } in the backward procedure below. ==== Backward procedure ==== Let β i ( t ) = P ( Y t + 1 = y t + 1 , … , Y T = y T ∣ X t = i , θ ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=P(Y_{t+1}=y_{t+1},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T}\mid X_{t}=i,\theta )} that is the probability of the ending partial sequence y t + 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle y_{t+1},\ldots ,y_{T}} given starting state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . We calculate β i ( t ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)} as, β i ( T ) = 1 , {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(T)=1,} β i ( t ) = ∑ j = 1 N β j ( t + 1 ) a i j b j ( y t + 1 ) . {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=\sum _{j=1}^{N}\beta _{j}(t+1)a_{ij}b_{j}(y_{t+1}).} ==== Update ==== We can now calculate the temporary variables, according to Bayes' theorem: γ i ( t ) = P ( X t = i ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) β i ( t ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) β j ( t ) , {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)=P(X_{t}=i\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)\beta _{i}(t)}{\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)\beta _{j}(t)}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } ξ i j ( t ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) a i j β j ( t + 1 ) b j ( y t + 1 ) ∑ k = 1 N ∑ w = 1 N α k ( t ) a k w β w ( t + 1 ) b w ( y t + 1 ) , {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)=P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)a_{ij}\beta _{j}(t+1)b_{j}(y_{t+1})}{\sum _{k=1}^{N}\sum _{w=1}^{N}\alpha _{k}(t)a_{kw}\beta _{w}(t+1)b_{w}(y_{t+1})}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} and j {\displaystyle j} at times t {\displaystyle t} and t + 1 {\displaystyle t+1} respectively given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The denominators of γ i ( t ) {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)} and ξ i j ( t ) {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)} are the same ; they represent the probability of making the observation Y {\displaystyle Y} given the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The parameters of the hidden Markov model θ {\displaystyle \theta } can now be updated: π i ∗ = γ i ( 1 ) , {\displaystyle \pi _{i}^{}=\gamma _{i}(1),} which is the expected frequency spent in state i {\displaystyle i} at time 1 {\displaystyle 1} . a i j ∗ = ∑ t = 1 T − 1 ξ i j ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T − 1 γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle a_{ij}^{}={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\xi _{ij}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} which is the expected number of transitions from state i to state j compared to the expected total number of transitions starting in state i, including from state i to itself. The number of transitions starting in state i is equivalent to the number of times state i is observed in the sequence from t = 1 to t = T − 1. b i ∗ ( v k ) = ∑ t = 1 T 1 y t = v k γ i ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T}1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}\gamma _{i}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} where 1 y t = v k = { 1 if y t = v k , 0 otherwise {\displaystyle 1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}={\begin{cases}1&{\text{if }}y_{t}=v_{k},\\0&{\text{otherwise}}\end{cases}}} is an indicator function, and b i ∗ ( v k ) {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})} is the expected number of times the output observations have been equal to v k {\displaystyle v_{k}} while in state i {\displaystyle i} over the expected total number of times in state i {\displaystyle i} . These steps are now repeated iteratively until a desired level of convergence. Note: It is possible to over-fit a particular data set. That is, P ( Y ∣ θ final ) > P ( Y ∣ θ true ) {\displaystyle P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{final}})>P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{true}})} . The algorithm also does not guarantee a global maximum. ==== Multiple sequences ==== The algorithm described thus far assumes a single observed sequence Y = y 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle Y=y_{1},\ldots ,y_{T}} . However, in many situations, there are several sequences observed: Y 1 ,
Baum–Welch algorithm
In electrical engineering, statistical computing and bioinformatics, the Baum–Welch algorithm is a special case of the expectation–maximization algorithm used to find the unknown parameters of a hidden Markov model (HMM). It makes use of the forward-backward algorithm to compute the statistics for the expectation step. The Baum–Welch algorithm, the primary method for inference in hidden Markov models, is numerically unstable due to its recursive calculation of joint probabilities. As the number of variables grows, these joint probabilities become increasingly small, leading to the forward recursions rapidly approaching values below machine precision. == History == The Baum–Welch algorithm was named after its inventors Leonard E. Baum and Lloyd R. Welch. The algorithm and the Hidden Markov models were first described in a series of articles by Baum and his peers at the IDA Center for Communications Research, Princeton in the late 1960s and early 1970s. One of the first major applications of HMMs was to the field of speech processing. In the 1980s, HMMs were emerging as a useful tool in the analysis of biological systems and information, and in particular genetic information. They have since become an important tool in the probabilistic modeling of genomic sequences. == Description == A hidden Markov model describes the joint probability of a collection of "hidden" and observed discrete random variables. It relies on the assumption that the i-th hidden variable given the (i − 1)-th hidden variable is independent of previous hidden variables, and the current observation variables depend only on the current hidden state. The Baum–Welch algorithm uses the well known EM algorithm to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters of a hidden Markov model given a set of observed feature vectors. Let X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} be a discrete hidden random variable with N {\displaystyle N} possible values (i.e. We assume there are N {\displaystyle N} states in total). We assume the P ( X t ∣ X t − 1 ) {\displaystyle P(X_{t}\mid X_{t-1})} is independent of time t {\displaystyle t} , which leads to the definition of the time-independent stochastic transition matrix A = { a i j } = P ( X t = j ∣ X t − 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle A=\{a_{ij}\}=P(X_{t}=j\mid X_{t-1}=i).} The initial state distribution (i.e. when t = 1 {\displaystyle t=1} ) is given by π i = P ( X 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle \pi _{i}=P(X_{1}=i).} The observation variables Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} can take one of K {\displaystyle K} possible values. We also assume the observation given the "hidden" state is time independent. The probability of a certain observation y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} at time t {\displaystyle t} for state X t = j {\displaystyle X_{t}=j} is given by b j ( y i ) = P ( Y t = y i ∣ X t = j ) . {\displaystyle b_{j}(y_{i})=P(Y_{t}=y_{i}\mid X_{t}=j).} Taking into account all the possible values of Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} and X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} , we obtain the N × K {\displaystyle N\times K} matrix B = { b j ( y i ) } {\displaystyle B=\{b_{j}(y_{i})\}} where b j {\displaystyle b_{j}} belongs to all the possible states and y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} belongs to all the observations. An observation sequence is given by Y = ( Y 1 = y 1 , Y 2 = y 2 , … , Y T = y T ) {\displaystyle Y=(Y_{1}=y_{1},Y_{2}=y_{2},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T})} . Thus we can describe a hidden Markov chain by θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} . The Baum–Welch algorithm finds a local maximum for θ ∗ = a r g m a x θ P ( Y ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \theta ^{}=\operatorname {arg\,max} _{\theta }P(Y\mid \theta )} (i.e. the HMM parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } that maximize the probability of the observation). === Algorithm === Set θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} with random initial conditions. They can also be set using prior information about the parameters if it is available; this can speed up the algorithm and also steer it toward the desired local maximum. ==== Forward procedure ==== Let α i ( t ) = P ( Y 1 = y 1 , … , Y t = y t , X t = i ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t)=P(Y_{1}=y_{1},\ldots ,Y_{t}=y_{t},X_{t}=i\mid \theta )} , the probability of seeing the observations y 1 , y 2 , … , y t {\displaystyle y_{1},y_{2},\ldots ,y_{t}} and being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . This is found recursively: α i ( 1 ) = π i b i ( y 1 ) , {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(1)=\pi _{i}b_{i}(y_{1}),} α i ( t + 1 ) = b i ( y t + 1 ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) a j i . {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t+1)=b_{i}(y_{t+1})\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)a_{ji}.} Since this series converges exponentially to zero, the algorithm will numerically underflow for longer sequences. However, this can be avoided in a slightly modified algorithm by scaling α {\displaystyle \alpha } in the forward and β {\displaystyle \beta } in the backward procedure below. ==== Backward procedure ==== Let β i ( t ) = P ( Y t + 1 = y t + 1 , … , Y T = y T ∣ X t = i , θ ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=P(Y_{t+1}=y_{t+1},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T}\mid X_{t}=i,\theta )} that is the probability of the ending partial sequence y t + 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle y_{t+1},\ldots ,y_{T}} given starting state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . We calculate β i ( t ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)} as, β i ( T ) = 1 , {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(T)=1,} β i ( t ) = ∑ j = 1 N β j ( t + 1 ) a i j b j ( y t + 1 ) . {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=\sum _{j=1}^{N}\beta _{j}(t+1)a_{ij}b_{j}(y_{t+1}).} ==== Update ==== We can now calculate the temporary variables, according to Bayes' theorem: γ i ( t ) = P ( X t = i ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) β i ( t ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) β j ( t ) , {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)=P(X_{t}=i\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)\beta _{i}(t)}{\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)\beta _{j}(t)}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } ξ i j ( t ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) a i j β j ( t + 1 ) b j ( y t + 1 ) ∑ k = 1 N ∑ w = 1 N α k ( t ) a k w β w ( t + 1 ) b w ( y t + 1 ) , {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)=P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)a_{ij}\beta _{j}(t+1)b_{j}(y_{t+1})}{\sum _{k=1}^{N}\sum _{w=1}^{N}\alpha _{k}(t)a_{kw}\beta _{w}(t+1)b_{w}(y_{t+1})}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} and j {\displaystyle j} at times t {\displaystyle t} and t + 1 {\displaystyle t+1} respectively given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The denominators of γ i ( t ) {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)} and ξ i j ( t ) {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)} are the same ; they represent the probability of making the observation Y {\displaystyle Y} given the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The parameters of the hidden Markov model θ {\displaystyle \theta } can now be updated: π i ∗ = γ i ( 1 ) , {\displaystyle \pi _{i}^{}=\gamma _{i}(1),} which is the expected frequency spent in state i {\displaystyle i} at time 1 {\displaystyle 1} . a i j ∗ = ∑ t = 1 T − 1 ξ i j ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T − 1 γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle a_{ij}^{}={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\xi _{ij}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} which is the expected number of transitions from state i to state j compared to the expected total number of transitions starting in state i, including from state i to itself. The number of transitions starting in state i is equivalent to the number of times state i is observed in the sequence from t = 1 to t = T − 1. b i ∗ ( v k ) = ∑ t = 1 T 1 y t = v k γ i ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T}1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}\gamma _{i}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} where 1 y t = v k = { 1 if y t = v k , 0 otherwise {\displaystyle 1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}={\begin{cases}1&{\text{if }}y_{t}=v_{k},\\0&{\text{otherwise}}\end{cases}}} is an indicator function, and b i ∗ ( v k ) {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})} is the expected number of times the output observations have been equal to v k {\displaystyle v_{k}} while in state i {\displaystyle i} over the expected total number of times in state i {\displaystyle i} . These steps are now repeated iteratively until a desired level of convergence. Note: It is possible to over-fit a particular data set. That is, P ( Y ∣ θ final ) > P ( Y ∣ θ true ) {\displaystyle P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{final}})>P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{true}})} . The algorithm also does not guarantee a global maximum. ==== Multiple sequences ==== The algorithm described thus far assumes a single observed sequence Y = y 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle Y=y_{1},\ldots ,y_{T}} . However, in many situations, there are several sequences observed: Y 1 ,
Transduction (machine learning)
In logic, statistical inference, and supervised learning, transduction or transductive inference is reasoning from observed, specific (training) cases to specific (test) cases. In contrast, induction is reasoning from observed training cases to general rules, which are then applied to the test cases. The distinction is most interesting in cases where the predictions of the transductive model are not achievable by any inductive model. Note that this is caused by transductive inference on different test sets producing mutually inconsistent predictions. Transduction was introduced in a computer science context by Vladimir Vapnik in the 1990s, motivated by his view that transduction is preferable to induction since, according to him, induction requires solving a more general problem (inferring a function) before solving a more specific problem (computing outputs for new cases): "When solving a problem of interest, do not solve a more general problem as an intermediate step. Try to get the answer that you really need but not a more general one.". An example of learning which is not inductive would be in the case of binary classification, where the inputs tend to cluster in two groups. A large set of test inputs may help in finding the clusters, thus providing useful information about the classification labels. The same predictions would not be obtainable from a model which induces a function based only on the training cases. Some people may call this an example of the closely related semi-supervised learning, since Vapnik's motivation is quite different. The most well-known example of a case-bases learning algorithm is the k-nearest neighbor algorithm, which is related to transductive learning algorithms. Another example of an algorithm in this category is the Transductive Support Vector Machine (TSVM). A third possible motivation of transduction arises through the need to approximate. If exact inference is computationally prohibitive, one may at least try to make sure that the approximations are good at the test inputs. In this case, the test inputs could come from an arbitrary distribution (not necessarily related to the distribution of the training inputs), which wouldn't be allowed in semi-supervised learning. An example of an algorithm falling in this category is the Bayesian Committee Machine (BCM). == Historical context == The mode of inference from particulars to particulars, which Vapnik came to call transduction, was already distinguished from the mode of inference from particulars to generalizations in part III of the Cambridge philosopher and logician W.E. Johnson's 1924 textbook, Logic. In Johnson's work, the former mode was called 'eduction' and the latter was called 'induction'. Bruno de Finetti developed a purely subjective form of Bayesianism in which claims about objective chances could be translated into empirically respectable claims about subjective credences with respect to observables through exchangeability properties. An early statement of this view can be found in his 1937 La Prévision: ses Lois Logiques, ses Sources Subjectives and a mature statement in his 1970 Theory of Probability. Within de Finetti's subjective Bayesian framework, all inductive inference is ultimately inference from particulars to particulars. == Example problem == The following example problem contrasts some of the unique properties of transduction against induction. A collection of points is given, such that some of the points are labeled (A, B, or C), but most of the points are unlabeled (?). The goal is to predict appropriate labels for all of the unlabeled points. The inductive approach to solving this problem is to use the labeled points to train a supervised learning algorithm, and then have it predict labels for all of the unlabeled points. With this problem, however, the supervised learning algorithm will only have five labeled points to use as a basis for building a predictive model. It will certainly struggle to build a model that captures the structure of this data. For example, if a nearest-neighbor algorithm is used, then the points near the middle will be labeled "A" or "C", even though it is apparent that they belong to the same cluster as the point labeled "B", compared to semi-supervised learning. Transduction has the advantage of being able to consider all of the points, not just the labeled points, while performing the labeling task. In this case, transductive algorithms would label the unlabeled points according to the clusters to which they naturally belong. The points in the middle, therefore, would most likely be labeled "B", because they are packed very close to that cluster. An advantage of transduction is that it may be able to make better predictions with fewer labeled points, because it uses the natural breaks found in the unlabeled points. One disadvantage of transduction is that it builds no predictive model. If a previously unknown point is added to the set, the entire transductive algorithm would need to be repeated with all of the points in order to predict a label. This can be computationally expensive if the data is made available incrementally in a stream. Further, this might cause the predictions of some of the old points to change (which may be good or bad, depending on the application). A supervised learning algorithm, on the other hand, can label new points instantly, with very little computational cost. == Transduction algorithms == Transduction algorithms can be broadly divided into two categories: those that seek to assign discrete labels to unlabeled points, and those that seek to regress continuous labels for unlabeled points. Algorithms that seek to predict discrete labels tend to be derived by adding partial supervision to a clustering algorithm. Two classes of algorithms can be used: flat clustering and hierarchical clustering. The latter can be further subdivided into two categories: those that cluster by partitioning, and those that cluster by agglomerating. Algorithms that seek to predict continuous labels tend to be derived by adding partial supervision to a manifold learning algorithm. === Partitioning transduction === Partitioning transduction can be thought of as top-down transduction. It is a semi-supervised extension of partition-based clustering. It is typically performed as follows: Consider the set of all points to be one large partition. While any partition P contains two points with conflicting labels: Partition P into smaller partitions. For each partition P: Assign the same label to all of the points in P. Of course, any reasonable partitioning technique could be used with this algorithm. Max flow min cut partitioning schemes are very popular for this purpose. === Agglomerative transduction === Agglomerative transduction can be thought of as bottom-up transduction. It is a semi-supervised extension of agglomerative clustering. It is typically performed as follows: Compute the pair-wise distances, D, between all the points. Sort D in ascending order. Consider each point to be a cluster of size 1. For each pair of points {a,b} in D: If (a is unlabeled) or (b is unlabeled) or (a and b have the same label) Merge the two clusters that contain a and b. Label all points in the merged cluster with the same label. === Continuous Label Transduction === These methods seek to regress continuous labels, often via manifold learning techniques. The idea is to learn a low-dimensional representation of the data and infer values smoothly across the manifold. == Applications and related concepts == Transduction is closely related to: Semi-supervised learning – uses both labeled and unlabeled data but typically induces a model. Case-based reasoning – such as the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) algorithm, often considered a transductive method. Transductive Support Vector Machines (TSVM) – extend standard SVMs to incorporate unlabeled test data during training. Bayesian Committee Machine (BCM) – an approximation method that makes transductive predictions when exact inference is too costly.
Baum–Welch algorithm
In electrical engineering, statistical computing and bioinformatics, the Baum–Welch algorithm is a special case of the expectation–maximization algorithm used to find the unknown parameters of a hidden Markov model (HMM). It makes use of the forward-backward algorithm to compute the statistics for the expectation step. The Baum–Welch algorithm, the primary method for inference in hidden Markov models, is numerically unstable due to its recursive calculation of joint probabilities. As the number of variables grows, these joint probabilities become increasingly small, leading to the forward recursions rapidly approaching values below machine precision. == History == The Baum–Welch algorithm was named after its inventors Leonard E. Baum and Lloyd R. Welch. The algorithm and the Hidden Markov models were first described in a series of articles by Baum and his peers at the IDA Center for Communications Research, Princeton in the late 1960s and early 1970s. One of the first major applications of HMMs was to the field of speech processing. In the 1980s, HMMs were emerging as a useful tool in the analysis of biological systems and information, and in particular genetic information. They have since become an important tool in the probabilistic modeling of genomic sequences. == Description == A hidden Markov model describes the joint probability of a collection of "hidden" and observed discrete random variables. It relies on the assumption that the i-th hidden variable given the (i − 1)-th hidden variable is independent of previous hidden variables, and the current observation variables depend only on the current hidden state. The Baum–Welch algorithm uses the well known EM algorithm to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters of a hidden Markov model given a set of observed feature vectors. Let X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} be a discrete hidden random variable with N {\displaystyle N} possible values (i.e. We assume there are N {\displaystyle N} states in total). We assume the P ( X t ∣ X t − 1 ) {\displaystyle P(X_{t}\mid X_{t-1})} is independent of time t {\displaystyle t} , which leads to the definition of the time-independent stochastic transition matrix A = { a i j } = P ( X t = j ∣ X t − 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle A=\{a_{ij}\}=P(X_{t}=j\mid X_{t-1}=i).} The initial state distribution (i.e. when t = 1 {\displaystyle t=1} ) is given by π i = P ( X 1 = i ) . {\displaystyle \pi _{i}=P(X_{1}=i).} The observation variables Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} can take one of K {\displaystyle K} possible values. We also assume the observation given the "hidden" state is time independent. The probability of a certain observation y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} at time t {\displaystyle t} for state X t = j {\displaystyle X_{t}=j} is given by b j ( y i ) = P ( Y t = y i ∣ X t = j ) . {\displaystyle b_{j}(y_{i})=P(Y_{t}=y_{i}\mid X_{t}=j).} Taking into account all the possible values of Y t {\displaystyle Y_{t}} and X t {\displaystyle X_{t}} , we obtain the N × K {\displaystyle N\times K} matrix B = { b j ( y i ) } {\displaystyle B=\{b_{j}(y_{i})\}} where b j {\displaystyle b_{j}} belongs to all the possible states and y i {\displaystyle y_{i}} belongs to all the observations. An observation sequence is given by Y = ( Y 1 = y 1 , Y 2 = y 2 , … , Y T = y T ) {\displaystyle Y=(Y_{1}=y_{1},Y_{2}=y_{2},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T})} . Thus we can describe a hidden Markov chain by θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} . The Baum–Welch algorithm finds a local maximum for θ ∗ = a r g m a x θ P ( Y ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \theta ^{}=\operatorname {arg\,max} _{\theta }P(Y\mid \theta )} (i.e. the HMM parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } that maximize the probability of the observation). === Algorithm === Set θ = ( A , B , π ) {\displaystyle \theta =(A,B,\pi )} with random initial conditions. They can also be set using prior information about the parameters if it is available; this can speed up the algorithm and also steer it toward the desired local maximum. ==== Forward procedure ==== Let α i ( t ) = P ( Y 1 = y 1 , … , Y t = y t , X t = i ∣ θ ) {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t)=P(Y_{1}=y_{1},\ldots ,Y_{t}=y_{t},X_{t}=i\mid \theta )} , the probability of seeing the observations y 1 , y 2 , … , y t {\displaystyle y_{1},y_{2},\ldots ,y_{t}} and being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . This is found recursively: α i ( 1 ) = π i b i ( y 1 ) , {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(1)=\pi _{i}b_{i}(y_{1}),} α i ( t + 1 ) = b i ( y t + 1 ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) a j i . {\displaystyle \alpha _{i}(t+1)=b_{i}(y_{t+1})\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)a_{ji}.} Since this series converges exponentially to zero, the algorithm will numerically underflow for longer sequences. However, this can be avoided in a slightly modified algorithm by scaling α {\displaystyle \alpha } in the forward and β {\displaystyle \beta } in the backward procedure below. ==== Backward procedure ==== Let β i ( t ) = P ( Y t + 1 = y t + 1 , … , Y T = y T ∣ X t = i , θ ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=P(Y_{t+1}=y_{t+1},\ldots ,Y_{T}=y_{T}\mid X_{t}=i,\theta )} that is the probability of the ending partial sequence y t + 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle y_{t+1},\ldots ,y_{T}} given starting state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} . We calculate β i ( t ) {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)} as, β i ( T ) = 1 , {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(T)=1,} β i ( t ) = ∑ j = 1 N β j ( t + 1 ) a i j b j ( y t + 1 ) . {\displaystyle \beta _{i}(t)=\sum _{j=1}^{N}\beta _{j}(t+1)a_{ij}b_{j}(y_{t+1}).} ==== Update ==== We can now calculate the temporary variables, according to Bayes' theorem: γ i ( t ) = P ( X t = i ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) β i ( t ) ∑ j = 1 N α j ( t ) β j ( t ) , {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)=P(X_{t}=i\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)\beta _{i}(t)}{\sum _{j=1}^{N}\alpha _{j}(t)\beta _{j}(t)}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} at time t {\displaystyle t} given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } ξ i j ( t ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j ∣ Y , θ ) = P ( X t = i , X t + 1 = j , Y ∣ θ ) P ( Y ∣ θ ) = α i ( t ) a i j β j ( t + 1 ) b j ( y t + 1 ) ∑ k = 1 N ∑ w = 1 N α k ( t ) a k w β w ( t + 1 ) b w ( y t + 1 ) , {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)=P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j\mid Y,\theta )={\frac {P(X_{t}=i,X_{t+1}=j,Y\mid \theta )}{P(Y\mid \theta )}}={\frac {\alpha _{i}(t)a_{ij}\beta _{j}(t+1)b_{j}(y_{t+1})}{\sum _{k=1}^{N}\sum _{w=1}^{N}\alpha _{k}(t)a_{kw}\beta _{w}(t+1)b_{w}(y_{t+1})}},} which is the probability of being in state i {\displaystyle i} and j {\displaystyle j} at times t {\displaystyle t} and t + 1 {\displaystyle t+1} respectively given the observed sequence Y {\displaystyle Y} and parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The denominators of γ i ( t ) {\displaystyle \gamma _{i}(t)} and ξ i j ( t ) {\displaystyle \xi _{ij}(t)} are the same ; they represent the probability of making the observation Y {\displaystyle Y} given the parameters θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The parameters of the hidden Markov model θ {\displaystyle \theta } can now be updated: π i ∗ = γ i ( 1 ) , {\displaystyle \pi _{i}^{}=\gamma _{i}(1),} which is the expected frequency spent in state i {\displaystyle i} at time 1 {\displaystyle 1} . a i j ∗ = ∑ t = 1 T − 1 ξ i j ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T − 1 γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle a_{ij}^{}={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\xi _{ij}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T-1}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} which is the expected number of transitions from state i to state j compared to the expected total number of transitions starting in state i, including from state i to itself. The number of transitions starting in state i is equivalent to the number of times state i is observed in the sequence from t = 1 to t = T − 1. b i ∗ ( v k ) = ∑ t = 1 T 1 y t = v k γ i ( t ) ∑ t = 1 T γ i ( t ) , {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})={\frac {\sum _{t=1}^{T}1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}\gamma _{i}(t)}{\sum _{t=1}^{T}\gamma _{i}(t)}},} where 1 y t = v k = { 1 if y t = v k , 0 otherwise {\displaystyle 1_{y_{t}=v_{k}}={\begin{cases}1&{\text{if }}y_{t}=v_{k},\\0&{\text{otherwise}}\end{cases}}} is an indicator function, and b i ∗ ( v k ) {\displaystyle b_{i}^{}(v_{k})} is the expected number of times the output observations have been equal to v k {\displaystyle v_{k}} while in state i {\displaystyle i} over the expected total number of times in state i {\displaystyle i} . These steps are now repeated iteratively until a desired level of convergence. Note: It is possible to over-fit a particular data set. That is, P ( Y ∣ θ final ) > P ( Y ∣ θ true ) {\displaystyle P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{final}})>P(Y\mid \theta _{\text{true}})} . The algorithm also does not guarantee a global maximum. ==== Multiple sequences ==== The algorithm described thus far assumes a single observed sequence Y = y 1 , … , y T {\displaystyle Y=y_{1},\ldots ,y_{T}} . However, in many situations, there are several sequences observed: Y 1 ,